Economics 101

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Economics 101 Rate Prediction FEBRUARY 17, 2023 Our Chief Economist, Matthew Gardner predicts that interest rates will hit 5.4% by the end of 2023. His prediction is aligned with most expert real estate economists. While rates will continue to bounce up and down as the year goes on, the general trend will be lower rates. This prediction is mainly […]
Blog The One Thing Every Homeowner Needs To Know About a Recession A recession does not equal a housing crisis. That’s the one thing that every homeowner today needs to know. Everywhere you look, experts are warning we could be heading toward a recession, and if true, an economic slowdown doesn’t mean homes will lose value. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) defines a recession this way: “A recession is […]
Blog Delinquent Indicator A leading indicator of the health of any real estate market is Mortgage Delinquencies. Specifically, the percentage of mortgages which are at least 30 days delinquent can foretell the amount of distressed properties that may hit the market in the future. The most recent research shows that only 4.11% of all loans are delinquent. This […]
Blog Rate Perspective MARCH 25, 2022 Given the recent increase in mortgage interest rates, we think a little perspective is in order. The average 30-year rate for the last 40+ years is 7.5% Rates are now back within the range where they were between April 2018 and February 2019 Between January 2000 and December 2009, the high was […]
Blog War and Interest Rates Our clients are curious to know what the conflict in the Ukraine will mean for mortgage rates. The short answer is down in the near term and up in the long term. Generally speaking, economic and political uncertainty drive people to invest in bonds rather than stocks, which puts downward pressure on interest rates. So, […]
Blog Money at a Discount This week, for the first time in 32 months, mortgage rates hit 4%. While this increase may feel painful for buyers currently looking at property, it is important to put today’s rates in perspective. We believe we will look back a few years from now and see that a 4% rate was like buying money […]
Blog Seller Facts Here are some fun facts about recent home sellers. This research comes from the National Association of Realtors survey of home buyers and sellers: 10 years = the average time recent home sellers have lived in their home. This number has remained essentially unchanged for the last ten years. From 1987 to 2007 the average […]
Buyers Q3 2021 Colorado Real Estate Market Update The following analysis of the Metro Denver & Northern Colorado real estate market is provided by Windermere Real Estate Chief Economist Matthew Gardner. We hope that this information may assist you with making better-informed real estate decisions. For further information about the housing market in your area, please don’t hesitate to contact your Windermere Real […]
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Blog Average Prices It’s true, average prices have increased substantially over the last year. Would you have guessed that Weld County has seen the largest increase along the Front Range? The specific numbers are below. As you look at the numbers, it is important to remember that average prices have increased because of appreciation and because there are […]
Blog Staggering Stat By definition, a real estate market is balanced when there is 4 to 6 months of inventory currently for sale. Anything less than 4 to 6 months means a Sellers’ market, anything more means a Buyers’ market. For example, if there are 1,000 closings per month in a market, the market would be balanced if […]
Blog Population Math The brand new Census data has just been released and it is fascinating! Colorado’s population now sits just below 6 million people at 5.773 million.  Just 20 years ago it was 4.301 million. Northern Colorado is booming and now has 688,047 in Larimer and Weld Counties.  It grew by 135,592 people in just ten years.  […]
Blog Local Nuances “All markets are local” is a commonly used phrase in real estate. This adage is proving to be true as we notice slight changes recently in the market. Bottom line, the market, in some locations, is not behaving exactly like it did even 30 days ago. Properties that perhaps would have received 10 or more […]
Blog High Average If you watch the weekly statistics that we produce and post on social media, a number that might be jumping off the screen at you is the average price. Specifically, it is the percentage increase in average price versus last year that is striking. We are commonly asked ‘how could average prices increase 20% to […]
Blog Words Matter A common phrase that is being used right now to describe the market is ‘no inventory.’ ‘There’s no inventory’ is said frequently among those inside and outside of the real estate industry. The problem with this phrase is that it is untrue. There is inventory.  Meaning, there are a significant number of new listings hitting […]
Blog Calculated Risk The economic research blog called “Calculated Risk” just completed a fascinating study on home prices. Specifically, they looked at the correlation between home price growth and inventory. They used price data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index and inventory data from the National Association of Realtors. No surprise, they found that the lower the inventory […]
Blog Drastically Different Recently it seems there are many attempted comparisons being made between today’s real estate market and the 2006-2007 market. It seems that people fear a repeat of what happened to the market in 2008 and 2009. Buyers, understandably, want to make smart decisions and don’t want to buy in advance of any downturn. The reality is […]
Blog Q1 2021 Colorado Real Estate Market Update The following analysis of the Metro Denver & Northern Colorado real estate market is provided by Windermere Real Estate Chief Economist Matthew Gardner. We hope that this information may assist you with making better-informed real estate decisions. For further information about the housing market in your area, please don’t hesitate to contact your Windermere Real […]
Blog This Isn’t a Bubble. It’s Simply Lack of Supply. [INFOGRAPHIC] Some Highlights In a recent article, Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for the National Association of Realtors (NAR), discussed the state of today’s housing market. When addressing whether or not today’s high buyer competition and rising home prices are evidence of a housing bubble, Yun said that this “is not a bubble. It is simply lack of supply.” Today’s housing market […]
Blog Why Forbearance Households WON’T become Foreclosures? There has been a lot of discussion as to what will happen once the 2.3 million households currently in forbearance no longer have the protection of the program. Some assume there could potentially be millions of foreclosures ready to hit the market. However, there are four reasons that won’t happen. 1. Almost 50% Leave Forbearance […]
Blog Record Highs While our temperatures felt like record lows this week, real estate prices have been hitting record highs along the Front Range. Here is the average price for residential sales so far this year in each of our Front Range markets (includes both single-family and multi-family): Fort Collins = $567,000 Loveland = $449,000 Windsor = $537,000 […]
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